The 407 2.2 petrol did 20mpg when used as a shopping trolley, but I got 46 out of it on my usual run.
It certainyl does depend on temperature. I offer the following two hypotheses:
(1) the car over-fuels itself when it's cold to try to warm itself up, and
(2) when the air is cold there is more of it in the cylinder and therefore the map allows more fuel to be injected.
63 MPG! Well impressed!
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Re: 63 MPG! Well impressed!
Current: 407 2.2 HDi 170 & C6 2.7 HDi.
Former: 406 1.9 TD; 406 HDi 90; 407 2.2 160; 307cc 180; 508 HDi 140.
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Re: 63 MPG! Well impressed!
I have two other hypotheses to offer: 
(3) Winter fuel has anti-freezing/-waxing/-clogging additives, making it less efficient
(4) Colder air is denser, giving more resistance while driving.

(3) Winter fuel has anti-freezing/-waxing/-clogging additives, making it less efficient
(4) Colder air is denser, giving more resistance while driving.
Current "fleet":
2003 406 Estate 2.0HDi 110 - 7 seater - just hit 710.000 kms
2001 Citroen Saxo 1.6i 8v 100
Previously owned:
2000 406 Sedan 2.0 HDi 90
2000 406 Coupé 2.0i 16v 138 - Riviera Blue
PP2000 user, can help with faults / diagnostics in the Netherlands.
2003 406 Estate 2.0HDi 110 - 7 seater - just hit 710.000 kms

2001 Citroen Saxo 1.6i 8v 100
Previously owned:
2000 406 Sedan 2.0 HDi 90
2000 406 Coupé 2.0i 16v 138 - Riviera Blue
PP2000 user, can help with faults / diagnostics in the Netherlands.